We are in a recession. The government is manipulating the market. We are clearly in a downtrend. As a reader points out in the comment section, the longer term charts show a target far far lower. About 6200 on the Dow. Sound crazy? It can happen. It likely will. That is my bias. What will I do with that bias? Trade one day at a time. Identify bullish and bearish setups. Follow my process. A trade is a trade is a trade. Joel Stahl

Long term (monthly) negative divergence (Oscillator). Shorter term (weekly) has positive divergence. Look for rally into end of year before going lower.
Posted by: Bob Knorr | September 20, 2008 at 09:29 PM
Regarding my previous post---Weekly positive Oscillator divergence on S&P, not on Dow.
Posted by: Bob Knorr | September 20, 2008 at 09:31 PM
It is very clear now that dow is going towards its type 2 monthly target of 5800. Now even monthly XTL 1.5 also comprehensively broken.
Posted by: sumeet | October 06, 2008 at 11:36 AM
I agree with the LT target, but I think it is very important to dig in if there is an imminent bound, as I think, b/c selling today it could very painful in the near future.
Posted by: Roy | October 07, 2008 at 09:32 AM